Project: Ukrainian scientific book in a foreign language
Authors: V.A. Ivanov, E.M. Igumnova, I.E. Timchenko
Year: 2012
Pages: 304
ISBN: 978-966-360-192-2
Publication Language: English
Publisher: PH “Akademperiodyka”
Place Published: Kyiv
Book Type: Monograph

The monograph looks into the rational management of coastal zone area (CZA) resources from the standpoint of systems approach. II proposes systems methods of integrated modeling and management of CZA’s ecological and eco­nomic processes, based on rational balance between environmental protection and consumption of biological, recreational and industrial resources. Dynamic models of ecological and economic processes are developed with the new method of adap­tive balance of causes (ABC method). Principal advantages of the new computer- based technology of CZA resources management are demonstrated on a large num­ber of sample scenarios of processes, predicted by the models.

References:

1. Abakumova, T.N. (1988). Distribution of nitrate and nitrite nitrogen in the Black Sea. Processes of Formation and Annual Variability of Hydrophysical and Hydrochemical Fields of the Black Sea. [In Russi an] – Sevastopol.: MGI AN UkrSSR. 158-161.

2. Abrosov, N.S., and Bogolyubov, A.G. (1988). Environmental and Genetic Patterns of Coexistence and Coevolution of Sspecies. [In Russian]. M. Nauka. 333 pp.

3. Alekseev, D.V., Ivanov, V.A., Ivancha, E.V., Fomin, V.V., Cherkesov, L.V. (2008). The influence of cyclonic activity on the distribution of particulate matter in sea water in the north-western Black Sea. [In Russian]. Meteorology and Hydrology. 3. 68-78. https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373908030072

4. Allan, C., and Stankey, G.H. (Eds.) (2009). Adaptive Environmental Management. A Practitioner’s Guide. CSIRO Publishing XVI. Collin gwood, Australia. 352 pp https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-9632-7

5. Ashby, W.R. (1962). Principles of the self-organizing system, in: Prin ciples of Self-Organization, von Foerster H. & Zopf G.(eds.), Pergamon, Oxford. 255-278.

6. Ashmanov, S.A. (1980). Mathematical Models and Methods in Econo mics. [In Russian]. M. MSU. 230 pp.

7. Bambach, R.K., Knoll, A.H., and Wang, S.C. (2004), “Origination, extin ction, and mass depletions of marine diversity”, Paleobiology 30 (4). 522-542 https://doi.org/10.1666/0094-8373(2004)030<0522:OEAMDO>2.0.CO;2

8. Baturin, V.A., Gurman, V.I., et al. (1981). Models of Natural Resources Management. [In Russian]. M. Nauka. 360 pp

9. Belokopytin, Y.S. (1993). Energy Metabolism of Marine Fishes. [In Russian]. Kiev. Naukova Dumka. 128 pp.

10. Belyaev, V.I. (1987). Modelling of Marine Ecosystems. [In Russian]. Kiev. Naukova Dumka. 240 pp.

11. Belyaev, V.I., and Timchenko, I.E. (1969). Displacement of measure ments and accuracy of fields’ reconstruction at automated collection and processing of hydrophysical information. [In Russian]. Automation of Scientific Research of Seas and Oceans. Part I. Sevastopol. MGI AN UkrSSR. 327-341.

12. Belyaev, V.I., and Timchenko, I.E. (1972). On the application of objective and four dimensional analysis in oceanography. [In Russian]. Morsk. Gidrofiz. Issledovaniya. 2. 80-92.

13. Bertalanffy, L. (1975). Perspectives of General Systems Theory, Braziller, 1975.292

14. Biodiversity. Encyclopedia of Earth. http://www.eoearth.org/article/Bio diversity

15. Brown, L.R. (2001). Eco-Economy: Building an Economy for the Earth. Norton & Co., NY. Earth Policy Institute

16. Bryson, A. and Ho Yu-Chi. (1972). Applied Theory of Optimal Control. [In Russian]. M. Mir. 544 pp.

17. Bulletin of Russian Ministry for Emergency Situations. (2007). http://www.mchs.gov.ru

18. Charlson, R., Lovelock, J., Andreae, M., and Warren, S. (1987).Ocean phytoplankton, atmospheric sulfur, cloud albedo and climate. Nature, 326 655-661https://doi.org/10.1038/326655a0

19. Cherkashin, A.K. (1994). Mathematical methods for economic valuation of natural resources. [In Russian]. Geography and Natural Resources. № 1. 162-170

20. Chernyakova, A.P. (1965). Typical wind fields of the Black Sea. Collected Works of the Basin Hydro-meteorological Observatory of the Black and Azov Seas. [In Russian]. Leningrad. Gidrometeoizdat. Vol. 3. 78-121

21. Cicin-Saint, B., and Knecht, R.W. (1998). Integrated Coastal and Ocean Management. Concepts and Practices. Island Press. Washington, D.C. – Covelo, California. 518 pp.

22. Clark, J. R. (1992). Integrated Management of Coastal Zones. FAO Fisheries Technical Paper No. 327. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

23. Climate of Kerch. http://www.meteoprog.ua/ru/climate/Kerch/

24. Codispoti, L. A., Frederich, G. E., Murrey, J. W., and Sacamoto, S. M. (1991). Chemical variability in the Black Sea: implications of continuous vertical profiles that penetrated the oxic/anoxic interface. Deep-Sea Res. No. 38, Suppl. 2. 691-710. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0198-0149(10)80004-4

25. Cokacar T., Ozsoy E. (1998). Comparative analyses and modeling for regional ecosystem of the Black Sea. Ecosystem Modeling as a Management Tool for the Black Sea. NATO ASI Series 2. Environment. Kluwer Academic Publishers. 2. 323-357.

26. Common, M. and Stagl, S. (2005). Ecological Economics: An Introduction. New York: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511805547

27. Costanza, R et al. (1998). The value of the world’s ecosystem services and natural capital. Ecological Economics. 25 (1). 3-15. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(98)00020-2

28. Daly, H., and Farley, J. (2004). Ecological Economics: Principles and Applications. Washington: Island Press.

29. Danilevsky, N.N., and Mayorov, A.A. (1979). Basic laws of population dynamics of the plankton-feeding Black Sea fish. Anchovy. Food Resources of the Black Sea. [In Russian]. Moscow. Food Industry. 25-73.

30. Denman, K.L., and Platt, T. (1979). Biological Forecast in the Sea. Simulation and Prediction of the Upper Ocean. Leningrad. Gidrometeoizdat. 299-311.

31. Dobrovolsky, A.D., and Zalogin, B.S. (1965). Seas of the USSR, [In Russian].Moscow.

32. Dolotov, V.V., Amosha, A.I., Ivanov, V.A., and Salomatina, P.N. (2006). The main concepts of the cadastral evaluation of beaches. Ecological Safety of Near-shore and Shelf Zones and the ComprehensivUse of the Shelf Resources. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 14. 28-36.

33. Dolotov, V.V., and Ivanov, V.A. (2007). Increasing the Recreational Potential of the Ukraine: Crimean Beaches Cadastral Evaluation. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 192 pp.

34. Ecosystem-based management: Markers for assessing progress. (2006). UNEP/GPA, The Hague. United Nations Environment Progra

35. Eremeev, V.N., and Ivanov, V.A. (2003). Oceanographic conditions and environmental problems of the Kerch Strait. [In Russian]. Marine Ecological Journal. № 3, v. II. 27-39.

36. Eremeev, V.N., and Ivanov, V.A. (2005). Natural Conditions in the Southern and Western Crimean Coast: Ecological Examination of Recreational Opportunities and Rehabilitation of the Population’s Health (Scientific handbook). [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 107 pp.

37. Eremeev, V.N., Igumnova, E.M., Timchenko, I.E. (2002). Modeling of cause-effect rela tionships in marine ecosystems. [In Russian]. Marine Ecological Journal. № 1, v. I. 16 -32.

38. Eremeev, V.N., Igumnova, E.M., and Timchenko, I.E. (2004). Modeling of Ecological Economic Systems. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 320 pp.

39. Eremeev, V.N., Timchenko, I.E., et al. (2007). Systems Modeling of Marine Ecological Economic Processes. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 451 pp.

40. Faber, M. (2008). How to be an ecological economist. Ecological Economics 66(1). 1-7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.01.017

41. Fasham, M., Ducklow, H., and McKelvie, S. (1990). A nitrogen-based model of plankton dynamics in the ocean mixed layer. J. Mar. Res. № 48. 591-639. https://doi.org/10.1357/002224090784984678

42. Fedorov, V.D., and Gilmanov, T.G. (1980). Ecology. [In Russian]. Moscow. MGU. 464 pp.

43. Fedra, K. (2000). Environmental decision support systems: a conceptual framework and application examples. Thése prèsentèe á la Facultè des sciences, de l’Universitè de Genéve. Imprimerie de l’Universitè de Genéve, 368 pp.

44. Fedra, K. (2004). Coastal Zone Resource Management: Tools for Participatory Planning and Decision Making Process. In: Green, D.R. et al. [eds.]: Delivering Sustainable Coasts: Connecting Science and policy. Proceedings of Littoral 2004, September, Aberdeen, Scotland, UK. Volume 1. 281-286.

45. Fedra, K. (2002).GIS and simulation models for Water resources Management: A case study of the Kelantan River, Malaysia. GIS Development. 6/8 39-43.

46. Felzenbaum, A.I. (1960). Theoretical Basis and Methods of Calculation of Steady Ocean Currents. [In Russian]. M. AS USSR, 1960. 127 pp.

47. Fiddaman, T.S. (1997). Feedback Complexity in Integrated Climate-Economy Models, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press. 300 pp.

48. Field J.G., Hempel G., Summerhayes C.P. (2002). Oceans 2020. Science, Trends, and the Challenge of Sustainability. Island Press. Washington-Covelo-London. 365 p.

49. Fomin, V.V., and Ivanov, V.A. (2007). Joint modeling of currents and wind waves in the Kerch Strait. [In Russian]. Marine Hydrophysical Journal. № 5. 3-20. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11110-007-0020-x

50. Forrester, J.W.( 1968). Principles of Systems. Cambridge MA, Productivity Press. 1968.

51. Forrester, J.W. (1973). World Dynamics. (2 ed.), Cambridge MA, Productivity Press.

52. Forrester, J.W. (1991).System Dynamics and the Lessons of 35 Years. A chapter for “The Systemic Basis of Policy Making in the 1990s” edited by Kenyon B. De Greene. Boston. MIT Press. 38 pp.

53. Freeman, A. (1993). The Measurement of Environmental and Resource Values: Theory and Methods. Resources for the Future. Washington DC.

54. Gaston, K.J., and Spicer, J.I. (2004). Biodiversity. An introduction. 2nd Edition. Blackwell.

55. Ghil, M., and Malanotte-Rizzoli, P. (1999). Data assimilation in meteorology and oceanography. Advances in Geophysics. 33. 141-266. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0065-2687(08)60442-2

56. Gilbert, N., and Troitzsch, K.G. (2005). Simulation for the Social Scientist. Second edition. Milton Keynes: Open University Press.

57. Gozhik, P.F., and Ivanov, V.A. (2008). Natural resources and their exploitation in offshore areas of the Azov-Black Sea basin. Ecological Safety of Near-shore and Shelf Zones and the Comprehensive Use of the Shelf Resources. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 17. 12-26.

58. Grese, V.N., Boguslavsky, S.G., et al. (1979). Bases of Biological Productivity of the Black Sea. [In Russian]. Kiev. Naukova Dumka. 391 pp.

59. Gucu, A.C. (1997). Role of Fishing in the Black Sea Ecosystem. Sensitivity to Change: Black Sea, Baltic Sea and North Sea. Netherlands: Kluver Academic Publishers. 149-162. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-5758-2_13

60. Hackett, S. (2006). Environmental and Natural Resources Economics: Theory, Policy, and the Sustainable Society. 3rd Edition. M.E. Sharpe, Publishers.294

61. Handbook for Measuring the Progress and Outcomes of Integrated Coastal and Ocean Management. (2006). IOC Manuals and Guides, 46; ICAM Dossier, 2. Paris, UNESCO

62. Hanley, N., J. Shogren, and B. White (2007). Environmental Economics in Theory and Practice, Palgrave, London.

63. Hare, M., and Deadman, P. (2004). Further towards a taxonomy of agent-based simulation models in environmental management. Math. Comput. Simul. Vol. 64(1). 25-40. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4754(03)00118-6

64. Harris, J. (2006). Environmental and Natural Resource Economics: A Contemporary Approach. Houghton Mifflin Company.

65. Hayes, W.H., and Lynne, G.D. (2004). A centerpiece for ecological economics. Ecological Economics. 49. 287-301. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2004.01.014

66. Henocque, Y. and Denis, J. (editors) (2001). A methodological guide: steps and tools towards Integrated Coastal Area Management. IOC Manuals and Guides No 42. Paris. UNESCO

67. Heylighen, F. (1991). Modelling Emergence. World Futures. 31. 89-104. https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.1991.9972256

68. Holling, C.S. (1978). Adaptive Environmental Assessment and Management. Wiley IIASA International Series on Applied Systems Analysis. New York. John Wiley & Sons.

69. Horn, R. (1972). Marine Chemistry. [In Russian]. M. Nauka. 398 pp.

70. Hydrometeorology and hydrochemistry of the seas of the USSR (1992). 4. Black Sea. Vol. 2. Hydrochemical Conditions and Oceanographic Fundamentals of Biological Productivity. [In Russian].St. Petersburg. Gidrometeoizdat. 468 pp.

71. Hydrometeorology and hydrochemistry of the seas of the USSR. (1991). 4. Black Sea. Vol. 1. [In Russian]. Hydrometeorological Conditions. St. Petersburg. Gidrometeoizdat. 429 pp.

72. Hydrometeorological Charts of the Black and Azov Seas. (1987). [In Russian]. Leningrad. GUNiO.

73. Igumnova, E.M., and Timchenko, I.E. (2003). Modeling of adaptation processes in eco sys tems. [In Russian]. Marine Hydrophysical Journal. № 1. 46-57.

74. IISD definitions to sustainable development. (2004). SD Gateway.htm. International Institute for Sustainable Development. Home page: http//: www.iisd.com

75. Ivanov, V.A., and Fomin, V.V. (2008). Mathematical Modeling of Dynamic Processes in the Sea land Zone. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 364 pp.

76. Ivanov, V.A., and Ilyin, Y.P. (2009). The consequences of pollution contamination of the Kerch Strait and neighbouring areas in the storm on 10-12 November 2007. [In Russian]. Dopovidi NASU. v. 22, no. 1. 177-180.

77. Ivanov, V.A., and Tuchkovenko, Y.S. (2006). Applied Mathematical Water-quality Modeling of Shelf Marine Ecosystems. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 365 pp.

78. Ivanov, V.A., and Tuchkovenko, Yu.S. (2009). Applied Mathematical Water-Quality Modeling of Shelf Marine Ecosystems. The Marine Hydrophysical Institute, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine. Sevastopol. 311 pp.

79. Ivanov, V.A., Cherkesov, L.V., and Shulga, T.Ya. (2009). The role of the Kerch Strait in the formation of steady flows and wave motions in the Sea of Azov. Environmental Monitoring Systems. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 192-197.

80. Ivanov, V.A., Pokazeev, K.V., and Schrader, A.A. (2005). Fundamentals of Oceanography. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 446 pp.

81. Ivanov, V.A., Yastreb, V.P., and Khmara, T.V. (2008). Applications of the results of oceano graphic research in marine resources management. Ecological Safety of Near-shore and Shelf Zones and the Comprehensive Use of the Shelf Resources. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY Hydrophysica. 17. 150-170.

82. Ivanov, V.A., Igumnova, E.M., Latun, V.S., and Timchenko, I.E. (2007). Models of Coastal Zone Resources Management. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 258 pp.

83. Ivanov, V.A., Lyubartseva, S.P., Mikhailova, E.N, and Shapiro, N.B. (2000). Seasonal variability of the ecological system of the north-western shelf from the results of a three-295 dimensional numerical simulation of the Black Sea ecosystem. Ecological Safety of Near- shore and Shelf Zones and the Comprehensive Use of the Shelf Resources. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 251-260.

84. Ivanov, V.A., Lyubartseva, S.P., Mikhailova, E.N, and Shapiro, N.B. (2000). Effect of wind conditions on the evolution of ecosystems near the mouth zone of the Danube in the summer Ecological Safety of Near-shore and Shelf Zones and the Comprehensive Use of the Shelf Resources. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 261-268.

85. Ivanov, V.A., Lyubartseva, S.P., Mikhailova, E.N, and Shapiro, N.B. (2003). Modern inter discipline model of the Black Sea ecosystem. [In Russian]. Marine Ecological Journal. № 1. v. II. 3-25.

86. Journal of Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations. (2009). [In Russian]. http://www.mchs.gov.ru.

87. Kalman, R., Falb, P., and Arbib, M. (1971). Essays on Mathematical Systems Theory. [In Russian]. M. Mir. 400 pp.

88. Kalman, R.E. (1960). A New Approach to Linear Filtering and Prediction Problems.// Journal of Basic Engen., Trans. of ASME, March 1960. 35-45. https://doi.org/10.1115/1.3662552

89. Kochergin, V.P., and Timchenko, I.E. (1987). Monitoring of Hydrophysical Fields of the Ocean. [In Russian]. Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat,. 280 pp.

90. Kolmogorov, A.N. (1941). Interpolation and extrapolation of stationary random sequences. [In Russian]. Izv. of AS USSR. Series Math. 5. 3-13

91. Korotaev, G.K., and Eremeev, V.N. (2006). Introduction to Operational Oceanography of the Black Sea. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 382 pp.

92. Kotelnikov, V.A. (1933). On the Carrying Capacity of the Ether. [In Russian]. M., RKKA communication dep. 62 pp.

93. Kovalev, A.V., Finenko, Z.Z., et al. (1993). Black Sea Plankton. [In Russian]. Kiev. Naukova Dumka. 280 pp.

94. Land-Ocean interactions in the coastal zone. (2005). IGBP Report 51 / IHDP Report 18. IGBP Secretariat Box 50005 SE-104 05, Stockholm.

95. Latun, V.S. (2007). Ecological-mathematical model of the phytoplankton-zooplankton- anchovies-scad. Environmental Monitoring Systems. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY Hydrophysica. 127-134.

96. Lemeshev, M.J., and Shcherbina O.A. (1985). Optimization of Recreational Activities. [In Russian]. M. Economics. 160 pp.

 

97. Leontiev, V.V. (1958). Investigation of the Structure of the American Economy. [In Russian]. M. Gosstatizdat. 150 pp.

98. Levin, S. (1998). Ecosystems and the biosphere as complex adaptive systems. Ecosystems 1(5). 431-436. https://doi.org/10.1007/s100219900037

99. Lorenz, E. N. (1963). Deterministic nonperiodic flow. J. Atmos. Sci. 20. 130-141. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1963)020<0130:DNF>2.0.CO;2

100. Lovelock, J. E. (1979). Gaia: a New Look at Life on Earth, OUP, Oxford. 124 pp.

101. Lovelock, J.E. (1991). Gaia: the Practical Science of Planetary Medicine. Gaia Books Limited. London.

102. Lyubartseva, S.P., Mikhailova, E.N, and Shapiro, N.B. (2000). Environmental three-dimen sional numerical model of the Black Sea: seasonal evolution of the ecosystem’s euphotic zone. [In Russian]. Marine Hydrophysical Journal. № 5. 55-80.

103. McClain, R.J., and Lee, R.G. (1996) Adaptive Management: Promises and Pitfalls. Envi ronmental Management, 20. 437-448. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01474647

104. McConnell, K., and Brue, S. (1972). Economics: Principles, Problems and Policies. [In Russian]. Moscow. Republic, 740 pp.

105. Margulis, L., and Sagan, D. (1995). What is Life. New York. Simon and Schuster. 280 pp.296

106. Martinez-Alier, J., Ropke, I. eds. (2008). Recent Developments in Ecological Economics. 2 vols. Cheltenham, UK. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781785366994

107. Мathematical Models in Biological Oceanography. (1984). Editors: Platt, T., Mann, K.H., and Ulanovich, R.E. [In Russian]. Paris. Publ. UNESCO. 195 pp.

108. Meadows, D.H., Meadows, D.L., Randers, J., and Behrens, W.W. (1972).The Limits to Growth: A Report for the Club of Rome’s Project on the Predicament of Mankind. New York. Universe Books.https://doi.org/10.1349/ddlp.1

109. Meadows, D.H., Meadows, D.L., and Randers, J. (1992). Beyond the Limits: Confronting Global Collapse, Envisioning a Sustainable Future. Post Mills VT. Chelsea Green.

110. Measuring Sustainable Development of the Coast (2004). A Report to the EU ICZM Expert Group by the Working Group on Indicators and Data Led by the ETCTE. ETC/TE, Brussels.

111. Mikhailova, E.N., Ivanov, V.A., Kubriakov, A.I., and Shapiro, N.B. (1998). Peculiarities of water circulation in the vicinity of the Zmeiny island under the influence of winds of different directions. [In Russian]. Marine Hydrophysical Journal № 4. 17-23.

112. Moiseyev, N.N.( 1981). Mathematical Problems of System Analysis. [In Russian]. M. Nauka. 487 pp.

113. Moiseev, N.N., Alexandrov, V.V., and Tarko, A.M. (1985). Man and the Biosphere. [In Russian]. M. Nauka.-275 pp.

114. Monin, A.S., and Yaglom, A.M. (1965). Statistical Hydromechanics. [In Russian]. M. Nauka. 630 pp.

115. Morgan, R. (1999). Preferences and Priorities of Recreational Beach Users. Journal of Coastal Research 15(3). 653-667.

116. Murray, C. and Marmorek, D. (2003). Adaptive Management and Ecological Restoration. Chapter 24, in: Freiderici, P. (ed.). 2003. Ecological Restoration of Southwestern Ponderosa Pine Forests. Island Press. Washington-Covelo-London. 417-428.

117. Murray, J.D. (2003). Mathematical Biology I: An Introduction. Springer-Verlag.

118. Myshkis, A.D. (1964). Lectures on High Mathematics. [In Russian]. M. Nauka. 610 pp.

119. Nagata, K. Wayne. (2006). Nonlinear Dynamics and Chaos: Mathematics 345 Lecture Notes. Vancouver. University of B.C.

120. Nelepo, B.A., and Timchenko, I.E. (1978). System Principles of Analysis of Observations in Ocean. [In Russian]. Kiev. Naukova Dumka. 222 pp.

121. Newton, Isaac. (1999).The Principia: Mathematical Principles of Natural Philosophy. University of California Press. 974 pp.

122. Nicolis, G., and Prigogine, I. (1979). Self-organization in Non-equilibrium Systems. [In Russian]. M. Mir. 350 pp.

123. Nihoul, J.C.J. (1998). Modelling Sustainable Development as a Problem in Earth Science. Math. Comput. Modeling. Vol. 28. No 10. 1-6. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0895-7177(98)00150-2

124. Nordhaus, W.D. (1994). Managing the Global Commons. Cambridge, Mass. The MIT Press

125. Nordhaus, W.D., and Yang, Z. (1995). RICE: A Regional Dynamic General Equilibrium Model of Optimal Climate-Change Policy. New Haven, Conn. Yale University and Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

126. Norton, B.G., and Steinemann, A.C. (2001). Environmental Values and Adaptive Mana gement. Environmental Values. 10. 473-506. https://doi.org/10.3197/096327101129340921

127. Norton, B.G., and Toman, M. (1997). Sustainability: Ecological and Economic Perspectives. Land Economics. 73(4). 553-568. https://doi.org/10.2307/3147245

128. Odum H.T. (1972). Environment, Power and Society. N.Y. John Willey & Sons, 331 pp.

129. Oguz T., Malanotte-Rizzoli P., and Ducklow, H.W. (1996). Towards Coupling Three Dimensional Eddy Resolving General Circulation and Biochemical Models in the Black Sea. Sensitivity to Change: Black Sea, Baltic Sea and North Sea. Kluwer Acad. Publ. 465-485.297 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-5758-2_35

130. Oguz,T., Dippner, J.W., and Kaymaz, Z. (2006).Climatic regulation of the Black Sea hydro meteorological and ecological properties at interannual-to-decadal time scales. Journal of Marine Systems. 60. 235-254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmarsys.2005.11.011

131. Olsson, P., Folke, C., and Berkes, F. (2004). Adaptive co-management for building resilience in social-ecological systems. Environmental Management 34. 75-90. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-003-0101-7

132. Ostrom, E. (1990). Governing the Commons. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511807763

133. Oven, L.S., Gordina, A.D., Giragosov, V.E. et al. (1991). The current state of some exploited fish populations in the Black Sea. The Black Sea Ecosystem Variability: Natural and Anthropogenic Factors. [In Russian]. M. Nauka. 349 pp.

134. Panin N. (1996). Danube delta genesis, evolution, geological setting and sedimentology. Danube Delta-Black Sea System under Global Change Impact. Constantsa. IOR Publisher. 7-23.

135. Parson, E.A., and Fisher-Vanden, K. (1995). Searching for Integrated Assessment: A Pre liminary Investigation of Methods, Models, and Projects in the Integrated Assessment of Global Climatic Change. Consortium for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN). University Center, Mich.

136. Parsons, G.R., and Powell M. (2001). Measuring the Cost of Beach Retreat. Coastal Management 29. 91-103. https://doi.org/10.1080/089207501750069597

137. Pears, D., and Moran, D. (1994). The Economic Value of Biodiversity. London. Earthscan Publications. 172 pp.

138. Petersen, D., and Middleton, D. (1962). Sampling and reconstruction of wave-number limited functions in N-dimensional Euclidean spaces. Information and Control, 5. 81-104 https://doi.org/10.1016/S0019-9958(62)90633-2

139. Petrosyan, L.A., and Zakharov, V.V. (1997). Mathematical models in ecology. [In Russian]. Izd. St. Peters-burg State University. 380 pp.

140. Plummer, R. and Armitage, D. (2007). A resilience-based framework for evaluating adaptive co-management: Linking ecology, economics and society in a complex world. Ecological Economics 61(1). 62-74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.09.025

141. Powersim solutions. (2002). Proceedings of the 20th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Palermo. 28 pp.

142. Protecting the coastal and marine environment from impacts of land-based activities: A guide for national action. (2006). Global Program of Action for the Protection of the Marine Environment from Land-based Activities. United Nations Environment Program. Hague.

143. Puhtyar, L.D., Stanichny S.V., and Timchenko, I.E. (2009). Optimal interpolation of sea surface remote sensing data. [In Russian]. Marine Hydrophysical Journal. № 4. 34-50. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11110-009-9049-3

144. Raw material resources of the Black Sea. (1979). [In Russian]. Moscow: Food Industry. 323 pp.

145. Robinson A.R., Lermusiaux P.F.J. (2000). Overview of data assimilation. Harvard Reports in Physical Interdisciplinary Ocean Science. № 62. Harvard University. Cambridge, Massachusetts. 28 рp.

146. Røpke, I. (2005). Trends in the development of ecological economics from the late 1980s to the early 2000s. Ecological Economics 55(2). 262-290.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2004.10.010

147. Rotmans, J. (1989). IMAGE: An Integrated Model to Assess the Greenhouse Effect. Amsterdam. The Netherlands. Kluwer Academic Publishers.

148. Ryabtsev, Y. N., and Shapiro, N.B. (1995). Modeling of the formation and evolution of the old inter-mediate layer in the Black Sea. [In Russian]. Marine Hydrophysical Journal. № 1. 51-68.

149. Ryabtsev, Y.N., and Shapiro, N.B. (1997). Modeling of the seasonal variability of the Black Sea. [In Russian]. Marine Hydrophysical Journal. № 1. 17-23.

150. Saaty, T. L. (2000). The Fundamentals of Decision Making and Priority Theory with the Analytic Hierarchy Process. RWS Publ. Vol. VI, AHP Series. 478 pp.298

151. Saaty, T.L. (1996). Decision making with Dependence and Feedback. RWS Publications. Pittsburg, PA.

152. Salas, F., Marcos, C., Neto, P. J., Perez-Ruzafa, A. and Marques, J.C. (2006). User-friendly guide for using benthic ecological indicators in coastal and marine quality assessment. Oceans & Coastal Management. 49. 308-331. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2006.03.001

153. Samuelson, P.A. (1948). A Foundation of Economic Analysis // Cambridge, Mass. 320 pp.

154. Sarmiento, J., Slater R., Fasham, M., Ducklow, H., Toggweiler, J., and Evans, G. (1993). A seasonal three-dimensional ecosystem model of nitrogen cycling in the north Atlantic euphotic zone. Global biogeochemical cycles. № 7. 417-450. https://doi.org/10.1029/93GB00375

155. Senge, P.M. (1990). The Fifth Discipline: The Art and Practice of the learning Organization. New York. Doubleday/Currency. 424 pp.

156. Shapiro, N.B. (1998). Formation of circulation in quasi-picnical model of the Black Sea, taking into account stochastic wind stress. [In Russian]. Marine Hydrophysical Journal. № 6. 26-40.

157. Sherwood D. (2004). Global warming and the Gaia theory – a systems approach. Papers presented at the 2004 International Conference of the System Dynamic Society. Oxford. UK. URL: www. systemdynamic.org

158. Shilov, G.E. (1956). Introduction to the theory of linear spaces. [In Russian]. M. GITIZ,. 303 pp.

159. Shulman, G.E. (1972). Physiological-biochemical features of the annual cycles of fish. [In Russian]. Moscow. Food Industry. 368 pp.

160. Simonovic, S.P. (2002). Assessment of Water Resources Through System Dynamics Simu lation: From Global Issues to Regional Solutions. Proceedings of the 36th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. (HICSS’03) IEEE. 161. Soros, G. (1999). Crisis of the world capitalism. Open society is in danger. [In Russian]. M. NFRA-M. 262 pp. https://doi.org/10.1109/HICSS.2003.1174224

162. Spash, C.L. (1999) The development of environmental thinking in economics. Environmental Values 8(4). 413-435. https://doi.org/10.3197/096327199129341897

163. Sprott, J.C. (2003). Chaos and Time-Series Analysis .Oxford University Press

164. Steinemann, A. (2001). Improving Alternatives for Environmental Impact Assessment. Envi ronmental Impact Assessment Review. 21. 3-12.https://doi.org/10.1016/S0195-9255(00)00075-5

165. Stelmakh, I.V., Yunev, O.A., Finenko, Z.Z., Vedernikov V.I., et al. (1998). Peculiarities of seasonal variability of primary production in the Black Sea. Ecosystem Modelling as a Management Tool for the Black Sea. 47. 93-104

166. Sterman, J.D. (1999). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin/McGraw-Hill.

167. Stern Review (2007). The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review. Cambridge. University Press. Cambridge. UK. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511817434

168. Tesfatsion, L. (2002). Agent-based computational economics: Growing economies from the bottom up, Artificial Life. 8. 55-82. https://doi.org/10.1162/106454602753694765

169. Timchenko, I.E. (1973). Prediction of hydrophysical processes based on the Kalman filter. [In Russian]. MGI AN UkrSSR Publications, Sevastopol. № 1 (60).

170. Timchenko, I.E. (1984). Stochastic Modeling of Ocean Dynamics. Harwood Acad. Publ. Chur-London-Paris-New-York. 320 pp.

171. Timchenko, I.E. (1988). System Methods in Ocean Hydrophysics. [In Russian]. Kiev. Naukova Dumka. 180 pp.

172. Timchenko, I.E., and Igumnova, E. M. (2000). Space and time variability of the parameters of ecological-economical systems. Phys. Oceanogr., Vol. 11, No. 2, 153-166. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02515301

173. Timchenko, I.E. and Igumnova, E.M. (2000). Systems Reanalysis. Proceedings of the Second WCRP International Conference on Reanalysis (Reading, UK, August 1999). World Meteo rological Organization Publications: WMO/TD-No. 985, January. 107-110. 299

174. Timchenko, I.E., and Igumnova, E.M. (2003). Prediction of the natural processes by the adap tive balance of causes method. [In Russian]. Marine Hydrophysical Journal. № 6. 30-41.

175. Timchenko, I.E., and Igumnova, E.M. (2005). Modeling of Sustainable Development of Territories. [In Russian]. Simferopol. Publication of Tavric National University. 132 pp.

176. Timchenko, I.E., and Igumnova, E.M. (2005). Integrated Management of Economic-Eco logical Sea-Land Systems. Physical Oceanography. Vol. 15. № 4. October 2005. 247-263. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11110-005-0046-x

177. Timchenko, I.E., and Igumnova, E.M. (2006). System analysis of environmental resources properties. Ecological Safety of Near-shore and Shelf Zones and the Comprehensive Use of the Shelf Resources. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 60-85.

178. Timchenko, I.E., and Igumnova, E.M. (2009). Assimilation of observational data and adaptive prediction of natural processes. [In Russian]. Marine Hydrophysical Journal. № 6. 47-70.

179. Timchenko, I.E., Igumnova, E.M., and Solodova, S.M. (2001). Natural Resources Mana gement. Simulation technology ABC AGENT. [In Russian]. Preprint. Sevastopol. ECOSY Hydrophysica, 2001. 95 pp.

180. Timchenko, I.E., Igumnova, E.M., and Solodova, S.M. (2007). Adaptive balance of global development processes. Physical Oceanography. Vol.17, No 3, May. 2007. Http://www.springerlink.com/content/k1t6240361774225. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11110-007-0014-8

181. Timchenko, I.E., Igumnova, E.M., and Timchenko, I.I. (2000). System Management and the ABC-technology for Sustainable Development. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 225 pp.

182. Timchenko, I.E., Igumnova, E.M., and Timchenko, I.I. (2002). Multi-Agent Simulation of Sustainable Development Scenarios. Proceedings of the 20th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Palermo. 2002. 139-140.

183. Timchenko, I.I., Igumnova, E.M., and Timchenko, I.E. (2004). Education and Sustainable Development. Systems Methodology. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 522 pp.

184. Timchenko, I.E., Igumnova, E.M., Solodova, S.M., and Timchenko, I.I. (2007). Systems management with integrated model of ecological state of the environment. Ecological Safety of Near-shore and Shelf Zones and the Comprehensive Use of the Shelf Resources. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. ECOSY-Hydrophysica. 14. 156-160.

185. Timchenko, I.E., Igumnova, E.M., and Naboykina, A.V. (2009). Systems modeling of nature management processes. Collect. Papers of Int. Conf. “Lomonosov-2009” at the Black Sea Branch of Moscow State Univ. Sevastopol.

186. Timchenko, I.E., Yarin, V.D., Vasechkina, E.F., and Igumnova, E.M. (1996). System Analysis of Marine Environment. [In Russian]. Sevastopol. Izd. MHI NASU. 225 pp.

187. Towards a European Integrated Coastal Zone Management (ICZM) (1999). Strategy: General Principles and Policy Options. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities.

188. Uemov, A.I. (1978). The Systems Approach and General Systems Theory. [In Russian]. Moscow. Mysl. 271 pp.

189. Valiela, I. (1984). Marine Ecological Processes. N.-Y.-Berlin-Heidelberg-Tokyo. Springer Verlag. 547 pp. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-1833-1

190. Vedernikov, V.I., and Demidov, A.B. (1993). Primary production and chlorophyll in the deep regions of the Black Sea .Oceanology. 33. № 5. 639-647.

191. Vinogradov, M.E. (1992). Long-term variability of the pelagic community structure in the open part of the Black Sea. Problems of the Black Sea. Sevastopol. MHI NASU Publ. 19-33.

192. Ventana Systems. (2002). Proceedings of the 20th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Palermo. 2002. 29-30.

 

193. Vernadsky, V.I. ( 1931). On conditions for the emergence of life on the Earth. [In Russian]. Izv. of AS SSSR. Geology and Geochemistry. 2. 633-653. REFERENCES

194. Vinogradov, M.E., Sapozhnikov, V.V., and Shushkina, E.A. (1992). Black Sea Ecosystem. [In Russian].M. Nauka,. 112 pp.

195. Vinogradov, K.A, Rozengurt, M.S., and Tolmazin, D.M. (1966). Atlas of Hydrological Characteristics of the North-western Black Sea (in fisheries purposes). [In Russian]. Kiev. Naukova Dumka. 96 pp.

196. UNEP (2007). Guidelines for Conducting Economic Valuation of Coastal Ecosystem Goods and Services, UNEP/GEF/SCS Technical Publication No. 8.

197. Walmsley, D. and Arbour, J. (2005). Application of the IOC Handbook for Measuring the Progress and Outcomes of Integrated Coastal and Ocean Management. The Eastern Scotian Shelf Integrated Management Area: A Canadian Test Case. Report to the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission.

198. Waltham, M.A (1974). Pegasus Communications. 637 pp.

199. Watson, A.J., and Lovelock, J.E. (1983). Biological homeostasis of the global environment: the parable of Daisyworld. Tellus 35B:284.https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0889.1983.tb00031.x

200. Watzold, F., Drechsler, M., and Armstrong, C.W. (2004). Ecological-Economic Modeling for Biodiversity Management: Potential, Pitfalls, and Prospects. Conservation Biology. Volume 20, No. 4, 1034-1041. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2006.00353.x

201. Weinstein, M. P. et al. (2007). Managing coastal resources in the 21st century. Front Ecol. Environ. 5(1). 43-48. https://doi.org/10.1890/1540-9295(2007)5[43:MCRITS]2.0.CO;2

202. Wooldridge, M. (2002) An Introduction to Multi-Agent Systems. John Wiley and Sons Limited. Chichester.

203. World Commission on Environment and Development. (1987). Our Common Future, World Commission on Environment and Development. Oxford. University Press, Oxford, UK.

204. Yaglom, A.M. (1981). Correlation Theory of Stationary Random Functions. [In Russian]. L. Gidrometeoizdat, – 280 pp.